NFL Week 13 Playoff Implications Be Thankful For Meaningful Games This Thanksgiving

UPDATE (Nov. 29, 3:52 p.m.): The interactive tables above have been updated to include the results of Thursday’s match-ups, and those games has been removed (the text of the article has not been updated).Turkey and football is an annual tradition. Turkey and meaningful football is a treat. So be thankful this year: When ranked by total playoff “swing” — a measure of how much each game affects the playoff picture1As measured by the cumulative amount of playoff probability at stake — three of the top four Week 13 games will take place on Thanksgiving.When the Chicago Bears visit the Detroit Lions in the first Thanksgiving Day game, the stakes are straightforward. The Bears are largely out of playoff contention, so all affected teams do better with a Lions loss — excluding the Lions, of course.You don’t need a complicated statistical model to tell you that the next game, between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys, will have huge implications for the NFC East title race. Going into the game, the Eagles have a slight edge on the Cowboys, with a 55 percent chance to win the division. A win in Dallas would increase its division title chances to 82 percent; a loss would drop it to 36 percent. Outside of the NFC East, the Green Bay Packers would prefer an Eagles victory, and the 49ers would prefer a Cowboys victory.2The Packers own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Eagles, and the 49ers own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Cowboys.Thursday night’s game between the Seattle Seahawks and the San Francisco 49ers will have significant playoff implications, but probably not in the way envisioned when the schedule was drawn up. The NFC West title isn’t at stake; the Arizona Cardinals have crashed the divisional party this year. Arizona holds a two-game lead over both Seattle and San Francisco. The Lions, Cowboys and Eagles will all be rooting for a San Francisco loss. And though Arizona’s playoff chances are better with a 49ers loss, its division title chances are better with a Seattle loss.We’ll let the charts do the talking for the rest of Week 13’s games. The most meaningful non-Turkey Day game is between the New Orleans Saints and the Pittsburgh Steelers, with more than 90 percentage points of playoff probability on the line. But, to close out this column, we thought we’d highlight some of the more interesting (or infuriating, depending upon your perspective) playoff scenarios that emerged from the 50,000 simulations that form the basis for this weekly feature. You can try your own hand at this with ESPN’s excellent Playoff Machine tool. But the scenarios below at least have a veneer of statistical plausibility.In last week’s column, we mentioned there were five simulations in which a five-win team won the NFC South. With losses from both the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans last week, there are now 107 simulations in which a five-win team wins the NFC South, amounting to an 0.2 percent probability.3Of those 107 simulations, 89 resulted in a Carolina Panthers division title, and 18 resulted in a title for Atlanta.There were 2,029 instances (4 percent probability) in which an 11-win team did not make the playoffs. The Cowboys and the Eagles are the two teams most likely to suffer that fate.There were seven simulations in which a five-win team made the playoffs and an 11-win team did not.There were two simulations in which all four AFC North teams finished with 11 wins.A five-win division winner hosting a 12-win wild card team? That happened nine times in our simulations. read more

CARICOM SUSPENDS MEMBERSHIP APPLICATION FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

first_imgFacebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppTRINIDAD & TOBAGO, NOVEMBER 28, 2013- Diplomatic doors have been shut on the Dominican Republic…According to a Caribbean news source, CARICOM has reportedly suspended the DR’s application to CARICOM in light of human rights concerns. Since the recent decision of Dominican courts to cancel the citizenships of generations of those born to Haitian migrants there have been reports of violent break-outs and scrutiny from many quarters on that ruling. CARICOM met Tuesday about the matter; chairing the meeting was Hon Ralph Gonsalves, PM of St Vincent and the Grenadines. Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Related Items:last_img read more

New Chief at Bahamas Princess Margaret Hospital

first_imgFacebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp#Bahamas, August 17, 2017 – Nassau – Dr. Caroline Burnett-Garraway has been appointed Medical Chief of Staff for the Princess Margaret Hospital and she is already working.   Already Health Minister, Dr. Duane Sands has commended the appointment of Dr. Burnett-Garraway who has served as Senior Registrar/Assistant Medical Director in the Accident and Emergency Department, eventually becoming Consultant, Medical Director and ultimately the Chief of Service for the Department for the last three years.Among the studies which have readied #DrCarolineBurnett-Garraway for this role is her 2004, Leadership Development for Physicians in Academic Health Centers program at the Harvard School of Public Health in Boston.   Quite accomplished is this violinist, mother of a daughter, wife and international speaker.The Public Hospitals Authority in making the announcement this week shared that Dr. Burnett Garraway has been published in peer reviewed journals, winning the Residents Prize for her paper “EMS – A Year in Review.”#MagneticMediaNews Related Items:#DrCarolineBurnett-Garraway, #magneticmedianewslast_img read more

Ter Stegen Barcelona were right to fine Dembele

first_imgBarcelona goalkeeper Marc-Andre ter Stegen insists the club were right to punish Ousmane Dembele over his recent wrongdoingsEver since completing a €105m transfer from Borussia Dortmund in 2017, Dembele’s time at Camp Nou has been overshadowed by injury problems and disciplinary issues.The France international spent four months of last season out with a hamstring injury and he’s currently sidelined again with an ankle problem this time.Adding to that are reports over Dembele showing up late for training sessions over the past year with Barcelona having taken special disciplinary measures to ensure there are no further repeats.And now Ter Stegen has given his views on the 21-year-old’s circumstances at Barcelona.“The club has quite rightly reacted [to give Dembele a fine],” Ter Stegen told Bild.“Ousmane is still young and will learn from it. Basically, I have to say that I like that not all guys are the same in football, otherwise it would be boring.Sergio Ramos, Real MadridZidane reveals Sergio Ramos injury concern for Real Madrid Andrew Smyth – September 14, 2019 Zinedine Zidane has put Sergio Ramos’ availability for Real Madrid’s trip to Sevilla next weekend in doubt after withdrawing him against Levante.“He is a talented footballer who will help us. He is not a complicated guy and is absolutely fine.“It is also up to us experienced players to push him a bit in the right direction. The rest has to come from himself.”Despite the controversy surrounding his antics at Barcelona though, Dembele has become an increasingly important member of the squad with 13 goals and five assists in 27 appearances across all competitions.The French forward will be facing two weeks on the sidelines with his ankle problem after coming off in the 69th-minute of Barcelona’s 3-1 La Liga win over CD Leganes last Sunday.Next up for Ernesto Valverde’s side is a trip to Sevilla for the first leg of their Copa del Rey quarter-final clash.Following that will be a Catalan derby against Girona on Sunday in La Liga with the second leg against Sevilla coming up next Wednesday.last_img read more

Mayor Faulconer calls for reform in water bill accuracy

first_img Updated: 10:37 PM John Soderman Posted: July 26, 2018 Mayor Faulconer calls for reform in water bill accuracy Categories: Local San Diego News FacebookTwittercenter_img July 26, 2018 00:00 00:00 spaceplay / pause qunload | stop ffullscreenshift + ←→slower / faster ↑↓volume mmute ←→seek  . seek to previous 12… 6 seek to 10%, 20% … 60% XColor SettingsAaAaAaAaTextBackgroundOpacity SettingsTextOpaqueSemi-TransparentBackgroundSemi-TransparentOpaqueTransparentFont SettingsSize||TypeSerif MonospaceSerifSans Serif MonospaceSans SerifCasualCursiveSmallCapsResetSave SettingsSAN DIEGO (CNS) – San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer Thursday called for “sweeping reform” within the Public Utilities Department following widespread complaints of inaccurate water billing from late 2017 into this year.Reports by City Auditor Eduardo Luna’s office and business consulting firm West Monroe Partners found that meter reading employee errors, lack of oversight and insufficient quality control led to billing complaints, in addition to scheduled rate increases, higher water use after drought restrictions were lifted as well as a longer billing cycle between September and December.Though only a “very small percentage” of bills had to be adjusted after being received by a customer — one-fifth of a percent — Faulconer called for the immediate implementation of 18 auditor-recommended reforms related to strengthening quality control and human meter reader oversight; proactively analyzing billing, water use and call volume data; and improving public communications and customer service attitudes.“Percentages don’t matter if you are the one that is overbilled — even one wrong bill is too many,” Faulconer said. “…The department needs to rebuild the trust that has been lost.”Overall, most recommendations are expected to be implemented by Jan. 1, according to the city.Luna’s audit analyzed 1.3 million water bills from 2017, and found that roughly 21,000 bills, 1.6 percent, showed double or more than double the previous billing period’s usage. That doesn’t mean customers were incorrectly billed.Overall, the utilities department flagged 57,117 potentially anomalous bills for additional review, adjusted 18,728 bills before they were sent to customers and another 2,750 after customers received an incorrect bill.Luna’s audit found that human error caused the largest amount of incorrect bills.Of the department’s 36 meter readers, 10 were responsible for more than half the readings corrected before billing and 71 percent of rebillings for 2017.Meter readers need to be more accurate, supervisors need to be more attentive and management needs to provide better training and tools to ensure accurate billing, Faulconer said.Recommendations from the recently completed audits include proactive customer outreach regarding water use, conservation efforts, advanced notice of billing cycle and rate changes; developing employee performance metrics to reduce the number of errors and skipped readings; and overhauling programs that analyze misreads, estimated bills and customer call volume.Deployment of the Advanced Metering Infrastructure program should also help, according to the audits.Separate city audits are expected for the smart metering program and utilities department’s customer service wing.Faulconer also said he’s ordered a review of the entire Public Utilities Department.“We must change the culture of this department to consistently deliver the excellent services San Diegans expect,” he said. John Soderman, last_img read more

Convicted sex offender soon to be released public comment period opens

first_img Posted: February 20, 2019 Convicted sex offender soon to be released, public comment period opens KUSI Newsroom, 00:00 00:00 spaceplay / pause qunload | stop ffullscreenshift + ←→slower / faster ↑↓volume mmute ←→seek  . seek to previous 12… 6 seek to 10%, 20% … 60% XColor SettingsAaAaAaAaTextBackgroundOpacity SettingsTextOpaqueSemi-TransparentBackgroundSemi-TransparentOpaqueTransparentFont SettingsSize||TypeSerif MonospaceSerifSans Serif MonospaceSans SerifCasualCursiveSmallCapsResetSave SettingsSAN DIEGO (KUSI) – A convicted sex offender could soon be released from a state hospital and placed in the Jacumba Hot Springs community, but local residents can weigh in on his potential release beginning today.Alan Earl James, 56, was convicted in 1981 and 1986 for several sex-related felonies involving at least three minor victims and sentenced to 28 years in state prison, according to the San Diego County District Attorney’s Office.James, who is classified as a “sexually violent predator,” was committed to Coalinga State Hospital, where he was undergoing treatment “for an indeterminate term.”James petitioned for a monitored conditional release last July, prosecutors said, and on Tuesday, the California Department of State Hospitals proposed to place James at 45612 Old Highway 80 in Jacumba Hot Springs, a property under the jurisdiction of the San Diego County Sheriff’s Department.From Wednesday until March 6, the public will have the opportunity to submit comments regarding James’ placement, which will be forwarded to the California Department of State Hospitals and San Diego County Superior Court prior to a March 22 court hearing regarding James’ proposed placement.The Sexual Assault Felony Enforcement — or SAFE — Task Force will submit the comments to the court in a formal response on March 22.Comments can be submitted via email to [email protected] or by calling (858) 495-3619, or by mailing to SVP Release/SAFE Task Force, 9425 Chesapeake Drive, San Diego, CA, 92123.Public comments will also be accepted during the March 22 hearing. KUSI Newsroom center_img Updated: 6:54 PM February 20, 2019 Categories: Local San Diego News FacebookTwitterlast_img read more